Monday, July 16, 2007

GMWAOAMTAIMAANICR

I've put some thoughts together on it all. We as Gay men have a limited population of other Gay men to choose a prospective partner/boyfriend/companion-for-the-even

ing from. The theoreticians will have us believe that 10% (.01) of the population is Gay so we'll start there. 10% of 300,000,000 (population of the US) is 30,000,000. Half of those are lesbians so... 15M Gay men in the US. Of that population how many of you out there are actually out? So let's say that narrows the field to perhaps 7% (.007) of the population (conservatively). Of this number how many of these are you attracted to? Now, this is a subjective number - we each have our own thoughts on attractiveness; our own types. Now for me it's fairly limited. I like white guys - lean, fit, preferably smooth or with little body hair (though that's changing somewhat) - typically late teens to twenty-somethings. So let's now say my number of Gay-men-who-are-out-and-my-type is about half of this number so one half of .007 is .0035 of any available male population, at best.

BUT... what about those guys who are already married, partnered, or otherwise in a committed relationship? Luckily that's a fairly low percentage to whittle off of the total - say 30% . So 70% ending in the percentage of Gay-men-who-are-out-are-my-type-are-into-m

e-and-are-not-in-committed-relationships (GMWAOAMTAIMAANICR) equal to .000245.

So with the male population of the US being 150M or so and GMWAOAMTAIMAANICR at .000245 the target population is now approximately 36,750 men in the entire US. Seems pretty good right? Well, I would really like to date a local guy. Lucky for me I live in Atlanta. So... Atlanta = 5M people so 2.5M men. .000245 of this number is 612.5 guys.

Wow, I'm excited! 612.5 Gay-men-who-are-out-are-my-type-and-are-into-me! Woot! There is always a but though...

This 612 guy population here in Atlanta is cool in terms of hooking up and stuff. But not all of those guys want to hook up and honestly I don't always want to hook up. How many of these guys want a relationship? Or to date? Do I want these things?

So okay, my percentage of possible prospects is at this point just .0035. So I select a cute guy, one from my population, sitting near the bar - What are the chances he's into me? My experience shows that only about 10% of the twenty-something population is into "older guys" - a title I carry proudly. So my percent of Gay-men-who-are-out-are-my-type-and-are-into-me goes down to .00035 of the male population.

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